Republican and Democratic voters overwhelmingly supported their events’ candidates within the gubernatorial race between Democrat Terry McAuliffe and Republican Glenn Youngkin, based on the preliminary outcomes of CNN’s Virginia exit ballot, with independents breaking in favor of Youngkin, who CNN projected would clinch the win.

A staff member works at a polling station during early voting for the U.S. Presidential election on October 31, 2020 in Arlington, United States.

© Chen Mengtong/China Information Service/Getty Photographs
A workers member works at a polling station throughout early voting for the U.S. Presidential election on October 31, 2020 in Arlington, United States.

An identical partisan sample held down poll in key Virginia races, with CNN projecting Republican Winsome Sears as the following lieutenant governor of the state.


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Youngkin additionally carried male voters on this yr’s election by a roughly 12-point margin, White girls with out faculty levels by about 50 factors and White evangelicals by about 76 factors — all broader margins than then-President Donald Trump posted over Joe Biden amongst these demographics within the 2020 election and than Republican Ed Gillespie posted over his gubernatorial rival in 2017. The early exit polling additionally suggests a slim benefit for Youngkin within the suburbs, an space that shifted towards Democrats throughout Trump’s presidency.

Voters’ views of McAuliffe are underwater, whereas their opinions of Youngkin are modestly constructive. About three-quarters of voters — together with related shares of these backing every candidate — say they view their alternative for governor as being extra in assist of their candidate than in opposition to his opponent.

Virginia voters on this yr’s election maintain damaging views of each President Biden and Trump. Biden, who gained comfortably in Virginia final yr, now faces approval rankings considerably underwater within the state, with roughly 45% approving and the remaining disapproving — seemingly a consequence each of his declining rankings since taking workplace, and the composition of the voters that turned out to vote this yr. Solely about one-fifth of voters say they view their votes as a strategy to specific assist for Biden, with practically 3 in 10 saying it is a strategy to specific opposition and the remaining half of the voters saying Biden wasn’t an element. Trump is not any extra fashionable within the state: Solely about 4 in 10 view him favorably.

Voters’ prime points

McAuliffe, within the last days of campaigning, had crisscrossed the state, casting its elections as an opportunity for Democrats to validate their eight years of management within the commonwealth by delivering Republicans and the previous President a defeat forward of crucial 2022 and 2024 elections. Youngkin, in the meantime, leaned into native points like schooling and long-established himself as a champion for parental rights.

About one-third of Virginia voters referred to as the economic system an important concern dealing with the state, putting it forward of different matters that dominated headlines within the closing days of the race. Slightly below one-quarter stated schooling is most necessary, about 15% selected taxes, about 14% selected the coronavirus pandemic and nearly one-tenth selected abortion.

McAuliffe voters name the economic system and coronavirus their prime points, adopted by schooling. Amongst Youngkin voters, the economic system is the highest concern, adopted by schooling and taxes.

Most voters take a constructive view of Virginia’s economic system, with about 55% ranking it both wonderful or good. About three-quarters of these with damaging views of the economic system backed Youngkin, with a barely smaller share of these with constructive views of the state’s economic system voting for McAuliffe. Voters are carefully divided over which candidate they belief to deal with the economic system: Roughly 40% belief solely McAuliffe and about 43% belief solely Youngkin, with the remaining trusting each or neither.

Video: Virginia exit ballot: Majority of voters disapprove of Biden (CNN)

Virginia exit ballot: Majority of voters disapprove of Biden



Nationwide tradition fights

Nationwide debates over masking and Covid-19 vaccine mandates charged the Virginia governor contest, with Youngkin having tapped into frustration with distant education for months throughout Covid-19 to get a listening to for his extra partisan messages on the rights of fogeys to determine how their kids are taught about America’s racial historical past.

Though early exit polling reveals the pandemic is not on the prime of voters’ considerations, they’re overwhelmingly prone to be vaccinated and a smaller majority are supportive of office vaccine mandates. The overwhelming majority of Virginia voters, greater than 8 in 10, say they’ve gotten no less than one dose of a Covid-19 vaccine, and about 55% say they favor employers requiring their staff to get vaccinated.

McAuliffe holds a commanding lead amongst voters who name the pandemic the most important concern. The small minority of unvaccinated voters overwhelmingly assist Youngkin, whereas McAuliffe holds a extra modest majority amongst vaccinated voters. Greater than 80% who again a office mandate favor McAuliffe, whereas practically 9 in 10 of those that oppose it favor Youngkin.

In his closing argument to voters forward of Election Day, Youngkin sought to middle the nationwide implications of the race, partially, on schooling.

Preliminary outcomes of exit polling present that roughly half of Virginia voters say dad and mom ought to have a variety of say in what their kids’s colleges educate, with a few third saying dad and mom ought to have some say and slightly over 1 in 10 saying they need to have little or no say. That sentiment is much more pronounced amongst dad and mom with kids below 18, greater than 60% of whom say dad and mom ought to have a variety of say.

Roughly 6 in 10 Virginia voters say abortion must be authorized in most or all circumstances. Simply over half say that monuments to Accomplice leaders on authorities property must be left in place; within the 2017 election, 57% of Virginia voters stated such monuments must be left in place.

A special voters

A slender majority of voters say the Democratic Get together is just too liberal total, whereas fewer name the Republican Get together too conservative. About two-thirds of Democratic voters say their social gathering’s ideology is about proper, whereas about two-thirds of Republicans say the identical of the GOP. Independents are much less happy with both social gathering, with just below one-quarter saying the Democratic Get together is usually about proper, and about one-third saying that of the GOP.

Greater than 80% of voters say they’re no less than considerably assured that votes within the state can be counted precisely, however barely beneath half name themselves very assured. Democrats are roughly 4 occasions as seemingly as Republicans to say they’re very assured about election accuracy.

Virginia’s voters within the governor’s race would not look the identical because it has in latest elections, the preliminary outcomes additionally counsel.

Roughly 74% of the voters is White, in contrast with about two-thirds within the 2017 governor’s election and the 2020 presidential election. The voters can be older than it was a yr in the past — solely about one-tenth are below 30, in contrast with 20% in 2020.

The Virginia CNN Exit Ballot is a mix of in-person interviews with Election Day voters and phone and on-line polls measuring the views of absentee by-mail and early voters. It was carried out by Edison Analysis on behalf of the Nationwide Election Pool. In-person interviews on Election Day had been carried out at a random pattern of 35 Virginia polling areas amongst 1,840 Election Day voters. The outcomes additionally embrace 2,068 interviews with early and absentee voters carried out by telephone, on-line or by textual content. Outcomes for the complete pattern have a margin of error of plus or minus 3 proportion factors; it’s bigger for subgroups.

This headline and story have been up to date with extra developments Tuesday.

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